Did the Immigration Act of 1990 increase the overall numbers of family-based immigration?
Table 9 distinguishes principals and derivatives both for family-based numerically restricted immigration and for numerically exempt immediate relatives of U.S. citizens. The family-based restricted under the old law (Preference Classes P1, P2, P4, P5) entered under a numerical limitation that was in the late 1980s and early 1990s about 216,000 per year. Thus, for this group we predicted shares of principals (derivatives) under an annual limit of 216,000. However, immediate relatives of U.S. citizens were (and are) exempt from quota limits. Thus, immediate relatives were predicted by means of an unconstrained linear regression. Family-based restricted principals increased considerably relative to predicted numbers (29.1% in 1995 and 68.6% in 1996). Immediate relatives of U.S. citizens were below the predicted number in 1995 (0.775), but slightly above in 1996 (1.024). In terms of shares, during 1995 and 1996 numerically restricted principals increased by 40.2% and 44.0%, respectively,
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