Does the game show “Deal or No Deal” actually require any skill?
Since the models don’t know what’s in their cases, you can’t read their body language. There are no real clues to be found by examining the cases or studying historical statistics of the game. If you have five cases left, holding $1, $10, $300, $300,000, and $400,000, then your expected payout would be $140,062.20. If the banker offers less than $140,000, you’re probably better off continuing to play. If the banker offers $140,000 or more, then you’re probably better off taking the offer. But these are only “probably”s… if you were able to play multiple times, then on average these rules should get you the best payout, but you only play once, and anything can happen, so there’s still a great deal of chance involved.
