How can a horse running in a $10,000 non-winners of 2 lifetime have higher pace pars than a horse who running in open $5,000?
Pace pars are based on final time, not class. If a $10,000 non-winners of 2 lifetime race turns out to be faster than an open $5,000 race, the par fractions will also be higher. I initally chose this method because DRF does not currently have final Beyer Speed Figure pars for state-bred, 2yo and 3yo races, which comprise a large chunk of the daily fare at most tracks (which is also why pace pars for each race are not yet available). When we do have pars for each class level, I’ll make a decision whether to key the pace pars to class averages or final time. I’m already seeing advantages to both methods.