How well does the ASTB predict training performance and attrition?
ASTB scores are highly predictive of aviation training outcomes, such as grades that are obtained from tests during training in classroom settings (academic grades) and ratings that are derived from performance in aircraft (flight grades). The measure that is used to describe the test’s ability to predict flight grades and academic grades is called validity. Validity coefficients range from 0 (the test does not predict flight grades and academic grades at all) to 1 (the test predicts flight grades and academic grades perfectly). The predictive validity of the AQR for the prediction of SNA (pilot) academic grades is r = .45 (p < .001), while the validity of the PFAR to predict SNA flight grades is r = .35 (p < .001). The validities for both academic and flight grades compare favorably with industry selection testing standards. Even though the prediction of these criteria is a valuable resource, one of the most important utilizations of the ASTB is its ability to predict attrition, which
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