Is the withdrawal going to lead to civil war in Israel?
This seems unlikely. The withdrawal has a solid, although not overwhelming, majority of support in Israel. Many of those who are not supporting the plan are questioning it on tactical, rather than ideological grounds. If the settlers, many of whom came into Gaza in recent weeks from the West Bank expressly to fight the withdrawal, do turn to violence to resist the withdrawal, they are going to face the anger of an overwhelming majority of Israelis who would not support such extreme actions. More than two decades ago, there were similar fears when Israel abandoned the settlement of Yamit in the Sinai Peninsula, and that withdrawal went very quietly for the most part. Todays settlers are better organized and even more fanatical than they were then, but even so, the chances of this flaring up into anything more than a minor skirmish at the very worst are slim.
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