what is the gamblers fallacy in roulette?

fallacy gamblers roulette
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what is the gamblers fallacy in roulette?

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This is a question about the “gambler’s fallacy”. Roulette is a particularly popular game among players who commit the gambler’s fallacy, in fact, so it’s an appropriate question to answer here. Simply put, the gambler’s fallacy is the belief that the odds of something happening change after a series of preceding events. An example of the gamblers fallacy in roulette would be to bet on black after the ball has landed on red eight times in a row. The thought process is that it’s unlikely for the ball to land on red nine times in a row, so a bet on black here will be profitable. (Another example would be to place a bet on red in the belief that red numbers are somehow “hot” because they’ve been coming up so frequently.) In either case, it’s a fallacy, because the odds on independent trials don’t change. On an American roulette wheel, the odds of landing on red are still 17 out of 36, or 47.2%. It doesn’t matter how many times red has come up previously, the chance of hitting red is alway

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