Who are those Kaine voters Deeds is missing out on?
-They’re disproportionately in Hampton Roads. That’s probably a regional pride thing, and it’s not going to be easy for Deeds to overcome it with those voters. -Our poll only included 7 Republicans who said they were going to vote for Deeds this year. But it included 22 Republicans who said they voted for Kaine and now weren’t going to pick Deeds. Not sure what to make of that- do they like McDonnell more than Kilgore, do they like Deeds less than Kaine, or do they just think that with their party out of power across the board they’d better support their nominee? Probably a mix of those, but the practical implication is that Deeds is getting basically zero crossover support.