Why are prediction markets interesting for the individual?
The reason for the continuous trading on the market is that single users base their decisions on different subjec-tive information and also interpret available information in a different way which results in congruent future ex-pectations. This way the stock exchange simulations almost playfully result in their main goal, the prediction. The aspect of playing a game is not a downside but so much more in most of the cases the base for a success-ful result of the simulation and the prognosis. The success in comparison to betting games or surveys is also based on the continued trading of the user. Playing the simulation like a game makes it easy to involve the trader in these time intense experiments which not a lot of people would be willing to do for standard scientific surveys.
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