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Why is it that only claims data can be used for computing a legitimate ROI?

computing Data ROI Used
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Why is it that only claims data can be used for computing a legitimate ROI?

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Historical claims data is a predictor of future savings. For example, if an ineligible dependent that is taking a maintenance (daily) medication is removed, we know that this person would have continued to take that particular maintenance medication for the indefinite future.

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