How accurate is TechCast?
All technology forecasts are wrong to some extent, but the past ten years of TechCast operations show that the variance in our technology forecasts averages +/- 3 years. Controversial issues may show above average variation, while less controversial items are remarkably consistent. If the existing level of uncertainty is defined as 100%, TechCast reduces it to about 30%. This level of accuracy is sufficient to “get us into the right ballpark,” which is adequate for most applications.
