Why do the probability values on the experimental probabilistic outlooks always appear relatively low?
The probability values represent the chance of severe weather within 25 miles of a point, which is about the size of a major metropolitan area. Though severe storms tend to receive a large amount of media coverage, severe weather is rare at any one location. A 25% chance of a tornado within 25 miles of a point represents a significant severe weather threat. Think of how often tornadoes occur close to you on days with thunderstorms, and the relatively low probabilities begin to make more sense!
